Climate Change And The Ecological Resilience Of Plants In Tashkent: A Multidimensional Analysis

Uktam Khujanazarov; Yumi Lee; Durdonakhon Komiljonova

doi:10.55640/eijp-06-01-23

Authors

Uktam Khujanazarov National Pedagogical University of Uzbekistan named after Nizami, Tashkent, 100185, Uzbekistan
Yumi Lee National Pedagogical University of Uzbekistan named after Nizami, Tashkent, 100185, Uzbekistan
Durdonakhon Komiljonova National Pedagogical University of Uzbekistan named after Nizami, Tashkent, 100185, Uzbekistan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55640/eijp-06-01-23

Keywords:

Tashkent, Climate Change, Urban Heat Island (UHI)

Abstract

This paper involves the shifting ecological role of urban and peri-urban vegetation in Tashkent amidst accelerating climate change. By integrating the physiological research and geobotanical mapping and the climate modeling of international agencies, it was analyzed anthropogenic transformation are threatening the sustainable development in Tashkent. The research identifies a critical transition in the botanical landscape: plants are shifting from stable urban amenities into stressed, functional components of climate resilience. Key findings highlight the phenomenon of “pasture digression” and the interruption of plant ontogenesis (developmental cycles) caused by extreme thermal stress (reaching 48°C). The study further utilizes species distribution modeling (SDM) to predict a 65% habitat decline for local flora by 2050 and explores the forced altitudinal migration of perennial grasses such as Poa bactriana.

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